Tue. Sep 16th, 2025

In a striking post on social media, U.S. President Donald Trump declared that the United States has seemingly “lost India and Russia to deepest, darkest China,” following a high-profile gathering of leaders in China. The remarks came amid rising tensions over tariffs and shifting alliances, and they inject new uncertainty into global diplomatic dynamics.

Keyword: lost India and Russia to China

Background on Trump’s Remark

What Was Said

On September 5, 2025, President Trump shared a photo from the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit in Tianjin showing Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and Chinese President Xi Jinping standing together. Accompanying the image on Truth Social, he wrote: “Looks like we’ve lost India and Russia to deepest, darkest China. May they have a long and prosperous future together!”.

Diplomatic Context

The SCO summit featured more than 20 non-Western leaders and symbolized growing coordination among Beijing, Moscow, and New Delhi. Modi’s camaraderie with Xi and Putin, including images of them walking side by side, fueled concerns in Washington about waning Western influence.

Analysis of the Diplomatic Fallout

Trade Tensions and Tariffs

The post followed sharp trade friction between Washington and New Delhi. The U.S. imposed steep tariffs—up to a total of 50%—on Indian imports, citing India’s purchase of Russian oil and alleged disruptions in trade balances.

The U.S. Commerce Secretary reinforced the pressure, urging India to “decide which side they want to be on,” implying that continuing its alignment with Moscow and Beijing would come at a cost.

U.S.–India Relations Strained

Strategic observers have warned that these actions risk pushing India closer to Russia and China. Many commentators describe the tariffs and rhetoric as a dramatic reversal of decades of bipartisan progress in U.S.–India ties—calling it potentially the worst crisis in twenty years of partnership.

Indian Response

New Delhi’s official reaction was measured. The Ministry of External Affairs declined to comment on the “lost” remark. Separately, Prime Minister Modi emphasized that ties with the U.S. remain “very positive” and stressed the “comprehensive global strategic partnership” shared between both democracies.

Broader Geopolitical Implications

A Shifting Global Order

The SCO’s symbolism reflects a growing multipolar world in which China, India, and Russia are asserting greater autonomy and influence. Analysts view these developments as indicative of a post-American world order—or at least a fragmentation of U.S. dominance.

Risks of Alienating a Key Ally

Critics, including former U.S. officials and analysts like Fareed Zakaria, warn that alienating India—one of the few democratic regional powers capable of counterbalancing China—could be a grave strategic miscalculation. Such actions may have long-term consequences for regional stability and economic interests.

Conclusion and Outlook

Trump’s stark “lost” comment is more than rhetorical provocation—it signals a critical inflection point in international alliances. The effectiveness of steep tariffs and confrontational posturing remains in question, as India continues to pursue what it labels “strategic autonomy.” A fragile opportunity remains for U.S.–India cooperation, particularly in countering China’s growing influence, if both parties can navigate the current tensions diplomatically.

Looking ahead, key developments to watch include whether there will be a diplomatic de-escalation or deepening estrangement between Washington and New Delhi—and what role, if any, Russia and China will play in shaping the emerging world order.

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